4
Dandymaria
3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 69
Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f
#16
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 27/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |