18
Orphanina
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 60
Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f
#19
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 12.7 /10 (raw 12.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | ? | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Naas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2110% of fieldRange 18-21 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -20.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 02/09/2026 | 19th | 250/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |