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11

Phoenix Pairc

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 63

Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took advantage of a drop in grade when winning 14-runner handicap at Roscommon (7.4f, good to soft) 3 weeks ago by head from Givehertilxmas. Yard having good spell and merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 70 · 7f195y Goo 129 · below its mark26/08/2025 · OR 70 par26/08C8OR 70C8 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 67 · 7f Std 129 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 67 parBHA72 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 72 · 6f Std 132 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 72 par14/1172OR 72BHA72 @ Dundalk 19/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 72 · 7f Std 133 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 72 parBHA69 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 69 · 7f45y Goo 139 · below its mark18/06/2026 · OR 69 par18/0669OR 69BHA68 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 68 · 5f180y Goo 138 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 68 parBHA65 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR 65 · 7f Goo 135 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 65 par3/0865OR 65BHA62 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 62 · 7f Goo 132 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA60 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 60 · 7f94y Yie 142 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 60 par31/0860OR 60projClass-projected finish: 9th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA601st1st0
2026-08-20LeopardstownBHA627th7th0
2026-08-03NaasBHA6514th14th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA687th7th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA6911th11th0
2025-12-19DundalkBHA7211th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0819/123/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 2155% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength68%

Delivery trend +1.9% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20253rd11/271%85%+0.14
14/10/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
14/11/20259th11/271%11%-0.60
19/12/202511th12/137%17%-0.20
18/06/202611th12/137%29%-0.08
11/07/20267th17/255%57%+0.02
03/08/202614th10/147%13%-0.34
20/08/20267th10/147%54%+0.06
31/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37