17

Prince Andorra

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 61

Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f

#20

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Ran to a modest level on debut and hasn't even matched that form in 3 starts since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1346/03C8C8 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f205y Sft 13411/04C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 7f94y Goo 13418/05C8BHA61 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 61 · 7f Std 129 · below its mark18/09/2026 · OR 61 par18/0961OR 61projClass-projected finish: 16th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA6112th12th0
2026-05-18Roscommon?6th6th0
2026-04-11Bellewstown?5th5th0
2026-03-06Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0311/0418/0518/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish20th of 215% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -16.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20267th125/10%54%+0.54
11/04/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
18/05/20266th12/137%44%+0.08
18/09/202612th66/10%15%+0.15