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8

Rappell

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 64

Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

17%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner who opened his account for the year at Limerick (6.5f) in July. Quickly back on track when third at Laytown 11 days ago, meeting trouble on the rail. Blinkers go back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA70 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 70 · 6f Sft 140 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 70 par19/0470OR 70BHA68 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 20 · OR 68 · 6f Gd 138 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 68 parBHA65 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 65 · 1m Gd 135 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 65 par15/0565OR 65BHA62 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 62 · 6f63y Yie 132 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 59 · 6f Goo 141 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 59 par1/0759OR 59BHA57 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 57 · 7f Goo 127 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 57 parBHA57 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 57 · 6f150y Gd 139 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 57 par11/0757OR 57BHA66 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR 66 · 7f Goo 136 · below its mark03/08/2026 · OR 66 parBHA64 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 6f Std 163 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 64 par10/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 6th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA643rd3rd0
2026-08-03NaasBHA6612th12th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA571st1st0
2026-07-08FairyhouseBHA572nd2nd0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA596th6th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA6214th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/043/0611/0710/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2175% of fieldRange 7-19 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/202610th20/10%55%+0.55
04/05/202611th12/137%47%+0.11
15/05/20269th20/10%43%+0.43
03/06/202614th20/10%32%+0.32
01/07/20266th5/174%69%-0.05
08/07/20262nd6/168%93%+0.24
11/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
03/08/202612th5/174%27%-0.47
10/09/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15