16
Treasured Royal
3yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 63
Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA68 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA71 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | BHA73 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2140% of fieldRange 7-21 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength10%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 13th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 18% | -0.64 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 18/5 | 81% | 25% | -0.56 |
| 22/08/2026 | 20th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 02/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |