9
Venetian Star
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 67
Fairyhouse · La Bucca Restaurant Handicap · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA68 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | BHA73 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA74 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA74 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Limerick | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | BHA73 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 20-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 18/08/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 09/09/2026 | 17th | 10/1 | 47% | 24% | -0.24 |