10

Never The Same

3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 75

Fairyhouse · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improving No Nay Never filly who landed 17-runner maiden at Naas (1m, good) in August. Has more to offer now going into handicaps. Not without interest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 6f Std 12828/11C8C8 @ Curragh 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f Goo 12918/07C8C8 @ Naas 03/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m Goo 1293/08C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Naas?1st1st0
2026-07-18Curragh?4th4th0
2025-11-28Dundalk?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1118/073/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20258th12/137%42%+0.05
18/07/20264th22/10%70%+0.70
03/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16