7
Stars Will Shine
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 80
Fairyhouse · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Curragh | BHA85 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Curragh | BHA87 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Down Royal | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-10 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 24/05/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 28/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |