13
Thenandnow
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 74
Fairyhouse · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA80 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA79 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Ayr | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 21/08/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 27/09/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |