Lars Soldier
2yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 87
Fairyhouse · Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.9 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA83 | 1st | 10th | −8 |
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | BHA84 | 5th | 14th | −8 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | BHA84 | 5th | 14th | −8 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA83 | 2nd | 11th | −8 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | BHA86 | 4th | 13th | −8 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 24/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 24/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 86% | +0.44 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 43% | -0.20 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |