3
Marco Polo
2yo Colt · 9-5
Fairyhouse · Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed) · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲5
Strength10%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.7
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-08-21 | York | 1 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -33.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.68 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 13/8 | 91% | 22% | -0.69 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 1/8 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |