The Scallionator
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 99
Fairyhouse · Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed) · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA99 | 1st | 12th | −9 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 16th | 16th | +0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | ? | 1st | 10th | −7 |
| 2026-05-16 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 11th | −7 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/06/2026 | 16th | 80/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |