Where Love Lives
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 98
Fairyhouse · Castlebridge Consignment Blenheim Stakes (Listed) · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | 1 | 5th | 5th | +0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 12th | 12th | +0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 12th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.08 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |