5
Captain James Cook
2yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 67
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse.ie Nursery Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA69 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Roscommon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +17.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 12th | 10/3 | 82% | 8% | -0.74 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |
| 18/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 55% | -0.03 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |