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6

Pink Venom

2yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 67

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse.ie Nursery Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field in a Curragh maiden that's worked out well on debut. Sharper when third to a now-useful one over C&D subsequently and still looked in need of the experience when filling the same position (beaten 9 lengths) on qualifying run at Navan last time. Opening mark potentially a handy one.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f20y Sft 1284/06C8C0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1211/07C?C8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12823/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-23Naas?3rd3rd0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?3rd3rd0
2026-06-04Leopardstown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/061/0723/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +23.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/06/20267th80/10%33%+0.33
01/07/20263rd3/184%71%-0.13
23/08/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80