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18

Amanirenas

7yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 40

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner but struggled on both outings this year and has to race from 9 lb out of handicap here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Fairyhouse 06/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 55 · 6f Gd 137 · beat its mark06/06/2025 · OR 55 par6/0655OR 55BHA55 @ Leopardstown 19/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 55 · 7f33y Gd 125 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 55 parC8 @ Bellewstown 04/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 53 · 7f195y Goo 133 · beat its mark04/07/2025 · OR 53 par4/07C8OR 53BHA51 @ Gowran Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 51 · 7f Gd 133 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 51 parBHA48 @ Leopardstown 07/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 48 · 7f42y Goo 130 · beat its mark07/08/2025 · OR 48 par7/0848OR 48BHA46 @ Laytown 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 46 · 6f Std 140 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 46 parBHA50 @ Dundalk 26/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 50 · 1m Std 132 · beat its mark26/09/2025 · OR 50 par26/0950OR 50BHA48 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 130 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 48 parBHA44 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 44 · 7f Std 141 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 44 par10/0944OR 44projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA4410th10th0
2026-08-23NaasBHA4817th17th0
2025-09-26DundalkBHA509th9th0
2025-09-04LaytownBHA461st1st0
2025-08-07LeopardstownBHA4812th12th0
2025-07-26Gowran ParkBHA518th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0626/0726/0910/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 17-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/06/202510th22/10%47%+0.47
19/06/20257th20/10%60%+0.60
04/07/20255th12/137%60%+0.23
26/07/20258th14/126%53%+0.27
07/08/202512th14/126%35%+0.09
04/09/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
26/09/20259th13/266%33%-0.32
23/08/202617th50/10%11%+0.11
10/09/202610th40/10%0%0.00