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4

Bundle Of Interest

4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 68

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dropped to a handy mark and took a step back in the right direction when third of 15 at Gowran (1m, good to soft) 20 days ago. Back down in trip. First-time blinkers replace visor. Merits consideration under Billy Lee.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA73 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 73 · 6f Yie 132 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 73 par30/0973OR 73BHA72 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m40y Yie 125 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 72 parBHA71 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 71 · 7f Hvy 141 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 71 par20/1071OR 71BHA73 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Std 119 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 73 parBHA73 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 73 · 5f205y Gd 133 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 73 par9/0573OR 73BHA71 @ Gowran Park 07/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 71 · 7f Goo 133 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 71 parBHA71 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m Goo 141 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 71 par16/0871OR 71BHA70 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 70 · 1m20y Goo 140 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Gowran Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 70 · 1m Yie 140 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 70 par1/0970OR 70projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Gowran ParkBHA703rd3rd0
2026-08-27NavanBHA709th9th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA717th7th0
2026-08-07Gowran ParkBHA717th7th0
2026-05-09NaasBHA7311th11th0
2025-11-07DundalkBHA737th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/097/1116/081/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength61%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20256th12/137%55%+0.18
08/10/20254th28/10%63%+0.63
20/10/20253rd13/266%87%+0.21
07/11/20257th40/10%0%0.00
09/05/202611th22/10%17%+0.17
07/08/20267th22/10%45%+0.45
16/08/20267th17/255%50%-0.05
27/08/20269th13/266%33%-0.32
01/09/20263rd13/266%86%+0.20