17
Caffu Zafeen
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 48
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f
#16
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA49 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA54 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA56 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA60 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA62 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA63 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +13.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 19/05/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 20/06/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 07/06/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 18/06/2026 | 15th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 29/08/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 28% | -0.09 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |