7

Dandyville

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

58%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

Timeform

Commentary

Useful handicapper at best but form went the wrong way for Stuart Crawford last year and, after 13 months off, hasn't gone with any encouragement in 3 outings this season. A first-time tongue tie needs to make a big difference.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 13.7 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA96 @ Curragh 24/05/2024 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 96 · 6f Gd 136 · below its mark24/05/2024 · OR 96 par24/0596OR 96BHA95 @ Fairyhouse 07/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 95 · 6f Gd 139 · below its mark07/06/2024 · OR 95 parBHA91 @ Curragh 23/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 91 · 6f Gd 131 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 91 par23/0591OR 91BHA91 @ Cork 13/06/2025 · Pos 18th of 19 · OR 91 · 7f Gd 134 · below its mark13/06/2025 · OR 91 parBHA89 @ Curragh 19/07/2025 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 89 · 6f63y Goo 124 · below its mark19/07/2025 · OR 89 par19/0789OR 89BHA85 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 85 · 5f205y Goo 135 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 85 parBHA76 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 76 · 6f Std 119 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 76 par15/0876OR 76BHA75 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR 75 · 5f Goo 135 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 75 parBHA72 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f Gd 119 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 72 par5/0972OR 72projClass-projected finish: 18th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA728th8th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA7516th16th0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA7612th12th0
2025-08-04NaasBHA8512th12th0
2025-07-19CurraghBHA8916th16th0
2025-06-13CorkBHA9118th18th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0513/0615/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 16-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/202414th33/10%19%+0.19
07/06/20242nd10/147%83%+0.36
23/05/20257th33/10%57%+0.57
13/06/202518th40/10%6%+0.06
19/07/202516th50/10%0%0.00
04/08/202512th33/10%15%+0.15
15/08/202612th66/10%0%0.00
02/09/202616th125/10%0%0.00
05/09/20268th200/10%0%0.00