11

Jackie Jump Up

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Maiden who failed to make a significant impact in 3 outings in May/June. A 106-day break needs to have had a reviving effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 18/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12818/09C8C8 @ Naas 12/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12812/10C8C8 @ Navan 22/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 5f180y Sft 12322/10C8C8 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f61y Sft 1293/05C8BHA74 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 74 · 6f25y Gd 134 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 74 par28/0574OR 74BHA70 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 133 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 70 par7/0670OR 70projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-07NavanBHA7013th13th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA747th7th0
2026-05-03Sligo?4th4th0
2025-10-22Navan?3rd3rd0
2025-10-12Naas?10th10th0
2025-09-18Naas?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0912/1022/103/0528/057/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/09/20255th16/116%73%+0.58
12/10/202510th6/168%36%-0.33
22/10/20253rd20/10%85%+0.85
03/05/20264th10/382%50%-0.32
28/05/20267th9/153%25%-0.28
07/06/202613th33/10%40%+0.40