11

Jackie Jump Up
3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 64
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Navan | BHA70 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA74 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Navan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 12/10/2025 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 36% | -0.33 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 07/06/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |