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15

One Cool Bear

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 55

Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f

#18

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a step back in the right direction when 3¾ lengths eighth of 18 to Irish Rumour in handicap (66/1) at Navan (5f, good) 16 days ago. Well treated if he can build on that. One of 3 for Ado McGuinness.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f Std 134 · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 64 par5/1164OR 64BHA64 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 64 · 6f Std 132 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 62 · 7f Std 130 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 62 par27/0262OR 62BHA66 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 66 · 6f Std 138 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 66 parBHA65 @ Naas 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 65 · 5f205y Gd 123 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 65 par27/0465OR 65BHA64 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 64 · 7f111y Gd 132 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR 63 · 7f Gd 131 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 63 par28/0563OR 63BHA60 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 60 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 60 parBHA55 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 55 · 5f Gd 137 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 55 par5/0955OR 55projClass-projected finish: 16th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA558th8th0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA6014th14th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA6313th13th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA647th7th0
2026-04-27NaasBHA654th4th0
2026-04-01DundalkBHA664th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/111/0428/055/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength27%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 17th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20256th7/163%62%-0.02
12/11/202511th7/163%23%-0.40
27/02/20262nd14/126%92%+0.65
01/04/20264th10/382%75%-0.07
27/04/20264th18/15%73%+0.67
11/05/20267th8/158%50%-0.08
28/05/202613th12/137%0%-0.37
12/06/202614th20/10%7%+0.07
05/09/20268th66/10%59%+0.59