9
Perfect Base
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 64
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA71
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Roscommon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Naas | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2024 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 09/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 94% | +0.20 |
| 04/08/2025 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 44% | -0.35 |
| 19/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 18/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |