3
Sovereign Cry
3yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 71
Fairyhouse · Fairyhouse Return Of The Jumps On October 10th Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA73 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA77 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA78 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA78 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA78 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA73 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 16th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 18/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 59% | +0.06 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |