6
Beechwood Glory
2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 68
Ffos Las · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Nursery · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
32%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-08 | Ayr | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Nottingham | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 88% | -0.04 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |