Maximus Meridius

2yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 69

Ffos Las · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Nursery · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength54%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C4.5

Today: 5

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Chepstow	5	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-07-28	Beverley	5	4th	4th	0	6.0
2026-07-17	Pontefract	4	3rd	2nd	+1	8.2
2026-06-20	Ayr	4	2nd	1st	+1	9.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▼

Strength66%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
20/06/2026	2nd	15/2	61%	80%	+0.19
17/07/2026	3rd	15/8	90%	67%	-0.23
28/07/2026	4th	11/4	86%	75%	-0.11
29/08/2026	3rd	17/2	55%	60%	+0.05