3

Resemblance

2yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 70

Ffos Las · Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Nursery · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

29%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Underperformed when last seen at Chepstow in June but had posted fair second at Haydock (6f) previously and must enter calculations on handicap debut here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength80%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 5f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS8/0523 @ Haydock 22/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS22/0534 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f16y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS6/064projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Chepstow47th6th+1
2026-05-22Haydock32nd0th+2
2026-05-08Ascot211th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0522/056/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength25%

Delivery trend -31.5% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/202611th16/116%9%-0.07
22/05/20262nd25/10%88%+0.88
06/06/20267th1/195%25%-0.70