Ongombo
2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 84
Ffos Las · betting.bet New Betting Sites/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/6
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
52%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +29.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 86% | +0.80 |
| 10/09/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |