3

Reddy

2yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 71

Ffos Las · betting.bet New Betting Sites/EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

45%

Place Prob

47%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Backed up encouraging Wolverhampton debut when second of 13 in novice at Thirsk (6f, good to soft) 16 days ago. Remains open to further improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength46%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f20y Std 13026/0852 @ Thirsk 05/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS5/092projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Thirsk22nd-2th+3
2026-08-26Wolverhampton53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend -72.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75
05/09/20262nd2/189%92%+0.02