2
Counting Cards
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Ffos Las · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Musselburgh | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-01-12 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2024 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 19/09/2024 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 12/01/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |