Manhattan Mirage
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 60
Ffos Las · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Thirsk | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-25 | Southwell | 5 | 12th | 11th | +1 |
| 2025-07-28 | Southwell | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-06-30 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2024 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 18/10/2024 | 3rd | 7/5 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 03/06/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 30/06/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/07/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/08/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 15% | +0.10 |
| 15/09/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |