5
Son Of Astar
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 58
Ffos Las · betting.bet Play Champion Tipster Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Chepstow | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 43% | -0.45 |
| 10/02/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 9% | -0.65 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 21/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 13/06/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 31% | -0.38 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |