10

A Daughters Love
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 63
Ffos Las · betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-08-21 | Salisbury | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-08-04 | Ffos Las | 6 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 7th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |