8
Green Falcon
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 71
Ffos Las · betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Haydock | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Goodwood | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-08-02 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 90% | -0.03 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 25/07/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 04/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |