Torcello
12yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 73
Ffos Las · betting.bet Free Racing Tips Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Haydock | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Kempton | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Chester | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-06-07 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2024-10-25 | Newbury | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2024 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 85% | +0.69 |
| 16/05/2024 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 27% | -0.28 |
| 12/10/2024 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 25/10/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 07/06/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 13/09/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |