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2

Just Johnny

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Ffos Las · Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 80y

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

Failed to show much in 3 bumpers and struggled back from 12 months off when last of 7 in novice at this course (1¼m, good) on Flat bow in June. Drops back in trip but can only be watched.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Aintree 09/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m209y Gd 1549/1145 @ Stratford 18/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m70y Goo 15218/0555 @ Uttoxeter 08/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f168y Gd 1528/0754 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 14230/064projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Ffos Las47th7th0
2025-07-08Uttoxeter58th9th−1
2025-05-18Stratford55th6th−1
2024-11-09Aintree46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1118/058/0730/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 3-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 4.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20246th12/137%29%-0.08
18/05/20255th5/174%56%-0.18
08/07/20258th17/255%13%-0.43
30/06/20267th150/10%0%0.00