4

Lucky Radar

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Ffos Las · Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 80y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lucky Vega gelding who offered something to work on making a fairly belated debut when second of 4 in maiden at Chepstow (6f, soft) 3 weeks ago. Every chance he can go one better with Murphy taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR - · 6f16y Goo 13331/084
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/08/20262nd9/153%67%+0.14