3

Beaming Light
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 51
Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 1) · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 04/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 18% | -0.29 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |