3

Beaming Light

6yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 51

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Last success came over C&D in June of last year. Dropped a long way down the weights and posted best effort for a while when good third of 10 in handicap at Southwell (7f) 25 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 09/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 66 · 7f36y Std 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/03/2026 · OR 66 par9/034OR 665 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 65 · 6f1y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Wolverhampton 04/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 64 · 5f21y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/04/2026 · OR 64 par4/045OR 646 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 62 · 6f18y Goo 131 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 60 par1/066OR 606 @ Carlisle 15/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 58 · 7f173y Goo 129 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Wolverhampton 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 56 par14/076OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 52 · 7f14y Std 133 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 52 par27/086OR 52projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Southwell63rd3rd0
2026-07-30Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-07-14Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-06-15Carlisle610th10th0
2026-06-01Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-04-26Nottingham65th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0326/0414/0727/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
25/03/20268th20/10%36%+0.36
04/04/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
26/04/20265th15/261%33%-0.27
01/06/20266th5/174%50%-0.24
15/06/202610th10/147%18%-0.29
14/07/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
30/07/20267th10/147%45%-0.02
27/08/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04