5

Private Officer

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 1) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ex-Irish gelding who was successful over 1m at Bellewstown in autumn 2024. Lightly raced since but shaped better than on debut for new yard when second of 8 in minor event over C&D (good to soft) 24 days ago, better placed than most. Cheekpieces back on. Not discounted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA54 @ Gowran Park 24/04/2024 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 54 · 7f Yie 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/04/2024 · OR 54 par24/0454OR 54BHA53 @ Gowran Park 09/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 53 · 7f Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2024 · OR 53 parBHA53 @ Limerick 16/05/2024 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 53 · 7f Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2024 · OR 53 par16/0553OR 53BHA51 @ Gowran Park 03/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR 51 · 1m1f100y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/06/2024 · OR 51 parBHA48 @ Killarney 23/08/2024 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 48 · 1m30y Yie 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2024 · OR 48 par23/0848OR 48BHA48 @ Bellewstown 03/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 48 · 7f195y Yie 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/10/2024 · OR 48 parBHA53 @ Roscommon 14/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR 53 · 7f111y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2024 · OR 53 par14/1053OR 536 @ Kempton 29/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 52 · 7f Sta 127 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 52 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 1m GS 135 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 50 par28/086OR 50projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Ffos Las62nd2nd0
2025-10-29Kempton612th12th0
2024-10-14RoscommonBHA539th8th+1
2024-10-03BellewstownBHA481st0th+1
2024-08-23KillarneyBHA487th6th+1
2024-06-03Gowran ParkBHA516th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/043/0614/1028/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20246th12/137%58%+0.21
09/05/20243rd3/184%67%-0.18
16/05/20243rd5/174%60%-0.14
03/06/20246th25/10%69%+0.69
23/08/20247th16/116%50%+0.34
03/10/20241st7/163%100%+0.37
14/10/20249th9/153%43%-0.10
29/10/202512th50/10%0%0.00
28/08/20262nd16/116%86%+0.70