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5

Angel's Call

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ended a long losing run in 7f classified race here in June. Beaten only by one who has dropped a long way in the weights this year when second of 11 at Bath (1m, good to firm) 9 days ago and fancied to be in the shake-up again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 16/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 47 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark16/03/2026 · OR 47 par16/036OR 476 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 05/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 45 · 1m142y Std 126 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 45 par5/056OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m Gd 129 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 45 par23/066OR 456 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 43 · 7f80y Goo 135 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 43 par6 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 52 · 1m Gd 132 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 52 par12/086OR 526 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 51 · 7f16y Goo 131 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 50 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 50 par12/096OR 50projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath62nd2nd0
2026-08-31Chepstow66th6th0
2026-08-12Ffos Las63rd3rd0
2026-06-30Ffos Las61st1st0
2026-06-23Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-06-02Wolverhampton69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/032/0612/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20267th33/10%45%+0.45
25/03/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
05/05/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
02/06/20269th80/10%11%+0.11
23/06/20264th33/10%67%+0.67
30/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
12/08/20263rd7/163%78%+0.15
31/08/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
12/09/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53