6

Georg Zhukov

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 49

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Off the mark over 1m at Dundalk in January but well beaten since, most recently when ninth of 16 at Gowran (9.5f, good to firm) just under 6 weeks ago. First run for yard after leaving Eamonn O'Connell.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 6
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA53 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m2f150y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 53 par5/1153OR 53C8 @ Dundalk 12/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 122 · below its mark12/11/2025 · OR 51 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 51 par26/1151OR 51BHA51 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 51 parBHA58 @ Dundalk 06/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m Std 140 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/02/2026 · OR 58 par6/0258OR 58BHA57 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f Std 139 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 57 parC8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m70y Yie 1615/04C8BHA55 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 55 · 1m1f110y Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 parBHA53 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 53 · 1m1f100y GF 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 53 par12/0853OR 53projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA539th8th+1
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA555th4th+1
2026-07-10Kilbeggan?2
2026-04-05Cork?5th7th2
2026-03-20DundalkBHA5710th10th+0
2026-02-06DundalkBHA5812th12th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/119/015/0412/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20254th7/282%75%-0.07
12/11/20258th28/10%46%+0.46
26/11/20252nd13/266%92%+0.27
09/01/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
06/02/202612th15/261%15%-0.45
20/03/202610th12/137%31%-0.06
05/04/20265th80/10%71%+0.71
25/07/20265th50/10%67%+0.67
12/08/20269th28/10%47%+0.47