4
King of The Dance
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 50
Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
33%
Place Prob
33%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Ffos Las | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Ffos Las | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Chepstow | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Ffos Las | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 28/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |