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7

Miss Raincloud

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 45

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who again showed little in first-time cheekpieces after 3 months off at Musselburgh (9f, good) in April. Off since and has moved yards (formerly trained by Tracey Waggott) ahead of this return to action.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 29/08/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m5y Std 123 · below its mark29/08/2025 · OR 51 par29/086OR 516 @ Newcastle 19/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 47 · 1m2f42y Std 122 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 47 par6 @ Newcastle 14/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 47 · 1m5y Std 125 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 47 par14/106OR 476 @ Newcastle 27/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 47 · 7f14y Std 126 · beat its mark27/11/2025 · OR 47 par6 @ Newcastle 16/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 47 · 1m5y Std 126 · beat its mark16/12/2025 · OR 47 par16/126OR 476 @ Newcastle 19/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 47 · 7f14y Std 122 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 47 par6 @ Newcastle 10/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 46 par10/016OR 466 @ Newcastle 24/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 46 · 1m2f42y Std 120 · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Musselburgh 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 45 · 1m208y Goo 121 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 45 par29/046OR 45projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-29Musselburgh67th7th0
2026-01-24Newcastle610th10th0
2026-01-10Newcastle66th6th0
2025-12-19Newcastle68th8th0
2025-12-16Newcastle610th10th0
2025-11-27Newcastle63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0827/1110/0129/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/202514th66/10%0%0.00
19/09/20258th33/10%0%0.00
14/10/20253rd100/10%75%+0.75
27/11/20253rd16/116%83%+0.68
16/12/202510th15/261%18%-0.42
19/12/20258th11/271%42%-0.29
10/01/20266th50/10%44%+0.44
24/01/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
29/04/20267th33/10%0%0.00