Mokata
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 45
Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Ffos Las | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Windsor | 4 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 1st | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 250/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |