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8

Uncle Albert

5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole success came in a Cork handicap (7f) back in March 2024. Has run poorly all 3 starts for current yard, including in a first-time tongue tie last month. Blinkers back on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 8.9)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA66 @ Gowran Park 16/04/2025 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 66 · 1m1f100y Sft 137 · below its mark16/04/2025 · OR 66 par16/0466OR 66BHA63 @ Down Royal 30/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 63 · 7f Gd 133 · beat its mark30/05/2025 · OR 63 parBHA62 @ Gowran Park 26/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark26/07/2025 · OR 62 par26/0762OR 62BHA56 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 56 · 5f180y Hvy 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 55 · 7f205y Sft 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 55 par11/0455OR 55BHA52 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 52 · 7f Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Chepstow 06/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m14y Sft 127 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 47 par6/066OR 476 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m Gd 129 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Ffos Las 12/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 1m Gd 126 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 45 par12/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Ffos Las610th10th0
2026-06-23Ffos Las68th8th0
2026-06-06Chepstow69th9th0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA527th6th+1
2026-04-11BellewstownBHA556th5th+1
2026-03-30NavanBHA568th8th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0430/036/0612/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/202515th28/10%13%+0.13
30/05/20255th25/10%69%+0.69
26/07/202513th25/10%20%+0.20
30/03/20268th8/158%50%-0.08
11/04/20266th18/15%62%+0.56
22/04/20267th12/137%54%+0.17
06/06/20269th10/382%0%-0.82
23/06/20268th9/153%22%-0.30
12/08/202610th25/10%0%0.00