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Whiteley Way

5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 55

Ffos Las · RHN Travel Handicap (Div 2) · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

59%

Place Prob

44%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on her Kempton near miss at the second attempt as she justified support in finally opening her account in 11-runner handicap at Lingfield (7.5f, good to soft) 4 months ago. Up 4 lb but the booking of Murphy catches the eye so every chance she can follow up if ready to roll.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 25/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · beat its mark25/02/2025 · OR 57 par25/026OR 576 @ Bath 20/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 57 · 1m Hvy 132 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 57 · 1m1f104y Std 132 · beat its mark01/12/2025 · OR 57 par1/126OR 576 @ Lingfield 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m1y Std 152 · beat its mark21/01/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark06/02/2026 · OR 54 par6/026OR 546 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 52 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 51 · 1m Sta 131 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 51 par25/036OR 516 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 52 · 1m2f37y Fm 127 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 51 · 7f135y Goo 131 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 51 par19/056OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-19Lingfield61st1st0
2026-04-29Bath64th4th0
2026-03-25Kempton62nd2nd0
2026-02-23Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-02-06Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-01-21Lingfield66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0221/0125/0319/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength87%

Delivery trend -5.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/20252nd16/116%88%+0.72
20/10/20252nd12/137%88%+0.51
01/12/20254th11/142%73%+0.31
21/01/20266th10/147%29%-0.19
06/02/20268th33/10%30%+0.30
23/02/20265th66/10%50%+0.50
25/03/20262nd9/153%86%+0.33
29/04/20264th9/153%25%-0.28
19/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24