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7

Elora Prince

3yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 51

Ffos Las · Dandara Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally got off the mark back in a handicap in 6-runner event at Chepstow (1¼m, soft) just over 3 weeks ago, responding well to the refitting of cheekpieces and a positive ride. Nudged up 4 lb and he could kick on now up and running.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 55 · 7f Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 55 par27/0255OR 55BHA53 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 53 parBHA51 @ Bellewstown 11/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 51 · 7f205y Sft 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/04/2026 · OR 51 par11/0451OR 51BHA50 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 46 · 1m2f37y Gd 126 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 46 par5/066OR 466 @ Ffos Las 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 46 · 1m2f Gd 123 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Windsor 03/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 47 · 1m2f GF 127 · beat its mark03/08/2026 · OR 47 par3/086OR 476 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 47 · 1m2f Gd 128 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Chepstow 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 47 · 1m2f Goo 124 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 47 par29/086OR 47projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Chepstow61st1st0
2026-08-21Ffos Las66th6th0
2026-08-03Windsor66th6th0
2026-06-23Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-06-05Bath67th7th0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA509th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0223/043/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/202610th11/142%25%-0.17
20/03/20264th33/10%63%+0.63
11/04/20268th8/158%42%-0.16
23/04/20269th8/158%11%-0.47
05/06/20267th13/266%50%-0.16
23/06/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
03/08/20266th13/266%50%-0.16
21/08/20266th6/168%44%-0.24
29/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26