8
Summer Evening
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 45
Ffos Las · Dandara Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-03-29 | Doncaster | 5 | 21th | 20th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 29/03/2026 | 21st | 16/1 | 16% | 5% | -0.11 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 11/08/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |