5

Trooper

6yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 50

Ffos Las · Dandara Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Five-time winner on the Flat in Germany but hasn't offered much over hurdles for current yard this year and it's been a similar story returned to this sphere on his last 4 outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Taunton 08/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 2m104y Gd 162 · HIGHER CLASS8/0144 @ Fontwell 27/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f162y GS 159 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Wincanton 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m7f50y Gd 158 · HIGHER CLASS12/0445 @ Stratford 17/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 2m70y Goo 146 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 76 par5 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 65 · 1m1f11y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 65 par5/065OR 656 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 62 · 1m5f Goo 132 · below its mark27/06/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 58 · 1m7f169y Std 142 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 58 par8/086OR 586 @ Bath 02/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 55 · 1m6f Goo 135 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 55 par2/096OR 55projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Bath610th10th0
2026-08-08Lingfield69th9th0
2026-06-27Lingfield64th4th0
2026-06-05Goodwood58th7th+1
2026-05-17Stratford55th4th+1
2026-04-12Wincanton46th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0117/058/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.0% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/01/20268th33/10%13%+0.13
27/03/20266th150/10%29%+0.29
12/04/20266th66/10%17%+0.17
17/05/20265th18/15%33%+0.28
05/06/20268th80/10%0%0.00
27/06/20264th28/10%0%0.00
08/08/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
02/09/202610th50/10%0%0.00