Zambezi Magic
9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 60
Ffos Las · Dandara Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Chester | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Chepstow | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Ffos Las | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 25/10/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |